Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LRC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.043712 0.050918 0.058933 0.068509 0.079640 0.092174 0.107365
2025-11-09 0.031268 0.040317 0.051434 0.066095 0.084934 0.108345 0.139688
2025-11-16 0.024692 0.034448 0.047391 0.065821 0.091415 0.125747 0.175398
2025-11-23 0.020199 0.030070 0.044022 0.065184 0.096514 0.141272 0.210250
2025-11-30 0.017461 0.027491 0.042463 0.066446 0.103966 0.160555 0.252688
2025-12-07 0.014919 0.024690 0.040003 0.065752 0.108065 0.175042 0.289552
2025-12-14 0.012693 0.021982 0.037197 0.063939 0.109894 0.185903 0.321771
2025-12-21 0.010888 0.019664 0.034638 0.062053 0.111152 0.195724 0.353245
2025-12-28 0.009896 0.018586 0.033990 0.063286 0.117818 0.215375 0.404191
2026-01-04 0.008920 0.017382 0.032929 0.063581 0.122744 0.232427 0.452526
2026-01-11 0.008064 0.016271 0.031873 0.063697 0.127273 0.249187 0.502356
2026-01-18 0.007417 0.015472 0.031289 0.064615 0.133408 0.269639 0.561926
2026-01-25 0.006928 0.014940 0.031186 0.066539 0.141939 0.296111 0.637817
2026-02-01 0.006096 0.013576 0.029226 0.064367 0.141730 0.304915 0.678205
2026-02-08 0.005545 0.012736 0.028246 0.064140 0.145613 0.322700 0.740319
2026-02-15 0.005029 0.011902 0.027163 0.063529 0.148540 0.338738 0.800649
2026-02-22 0.004709 0.011471 0.026913 0.064761 0.155788 0.365208 0.888418
2026-03-01 0.004291 0.010751 0.025908 0.064085 0.158469 0.381557 0.954439
2026-03-08 0.003852 0.009917 0.024528 0.062318 0.158277 0.391114 1.005189
2026-03-15 0.003459 0.009143 0.023193 0.060480 0.157655 0.399531 1.054198
2026-03-22 0.003271 0.008871 0.023063 0.061682 0.164908 0.428294 1.159392
2026-03-29 0.003053 0.008489 0.022605 0.061969 0.169813 0.451714 1.253698
2026-04-05 0.002846 0.008110 0.022107 0.062082 0.174269 0.474523 1.349484